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Water Vapor Imagery

August 24th, 2010 GoNorthWest No comments

I recently “discovered” on the local NWS website the Satellite Water Vapor Imagery data for our area, and I’m quite fascinated by it! The official description of this data is as follows:

Water vapor satellite imagery depicts moisture content in the middle and upper layers of the atmosphere. Lower level moisture is not depicted in these images. Moisture transport over large distances generally happens through the middle and upper layers of the atmosphere. Hence these images will depict moisture coming into the Southwest from the Gulf of Mexico or across Texas. Additionally, weak disturbances from the east are best tracked through water vapor imagery.

The imagery looks like this when viewed online. The is a screen capture of one frame of data:

Water Vapor Imagery

Water Vapor Imagery

Basically, what this shows is the amount of moisture that is in the upper atmosphere. This may be in the form of clouds that you see, but often it is not. Water vapor literally surrounds the earth, but is unevenly distributed due to things like oceans, lakes, rivers, deserts, arid areas, etc. For instance, in the image above, you can see a lot of water vapor coming up from the southwest into places like Arizona and New Mexico, which are traditionally dry regions. Areas like the Pacific Northwest, which are usually wet, have much less than normal. This is all due to seasonal shifts in winds and weather patterns, which change the flow of moisture around the planet. By looking at an image like this, you can get an idea of how much moisture is available in your area…moisture that could turn to rain or snow!

Amazingly Quick Storm Development

August 23rd, 2010 GoNorthWest No comments

When I drove to work this morning, around 9AM, the sky was almost perfectly clear.  A few high cirrus clouds, but nothing aside from that…just blue sky. Below is a snapshot from my phone on what the sky looked like around 1:30PM today:

Quick Storm Development

Quick Storm Development

Since this picture was taken, our area has seen multiple Severe Thunderstorm alerts, along with several Flash Flood warnings! It absolutely amazes me how quickly the weather can turn in our area of the wood, and why it’s always important to keep an eye on weather when outside doing fun things. Dry washes and rivers can turn into raging torrents without a single drop falling in your particular area. Always know the weather!

Categories: Clouds, Monsoon, Weather Tags: , ,

View From The Top

July 30th, 2010 GoNorthWest 1 comment

I was flying to Seattle earlier this week, and snapped this picture from the plane. I love how clouds look from the top! Notice the vertical development punching it’s way through the deck!

View From The Top

View From The Top

Categories: Clouds, Weather Tags: ,

Website For Storm Photographers

July 8th, 2010 GoNorthWest No comments

I have created a new website aimed at showing people the best locations to take lightning and storm pictures. It’s called Lightning Shot Spots and I just launched it today! So far it’s a bare bones site while I work to collect location data (provided by users like you!), but I have plans to develop it into a world class storm photography resources. So, head over, take a look, and please contribute a location if you have one. Thanks!

Vertical Development

June 30th, 2010 GoNorthWest 1 comment

When you start seeing vertical development in storm clouds, there’s a good chance rain is on the way. Here’s a picture of some clouds outside right now, and the associated radar image from my iPhone.

Categories: Clouds, Monsoon, Weather Tags: , ,

Almost Storm Time!

June 29th, 2010 GoNorthWest No comments

Afternoon thunderstorms are starting to pop up. Not long before they become daily events!

Categories: Monsoon, Weather Tags: , ,

Severe Weather Sign

June 19th, 2010 GoNorthWest No comments

Severe weather shelter sign in Columbus, OH airport.

Categories: Tornadoes Tags: , ,

How To Forecast Weather Without Gadgets

June 2nd, 2010 GoNorthWest No comments

I stumbled across this today, and thought it was worth sharing. There are lots of ways to forecast the weather without relying on gadgets. Knowing how to do it old school is a great skill to have, and helps you understand the fundamental properties of weather. Check out this graphic, and have fun learning!

How To Forecast Weather

What Is Base Reflectivity?

May 21st, 2010 GoNorthWest No comments

The other evening I was checking out the NWS page for Tucson, and I clicked on the local Radar image. This is what I saw:

Tucson Base Reflectivity

Tucson Base Reflectivity

At first glance, it would appear that it was raining outside in the areas indicated in blue. But, having spent the evening outside coaching a softball game, and having checked the skies before heading in for the evening, I knew that, if anything, the only thing in the sky was some high clouds. So, why would the radar indicate that it was raining? I decided that it was time to get a better understanding of what Base Reflectivity was all about.

Turning to Google, I found a link to the National Weather Service page on Base Reflectivity. I started reading the FAQs on weather radar, and it became very apparent that there is more than meets the eye when reading weather radar output.

To begin, we need to understand how weather radar works. Basically, the Next Generation Radar (NEXRAD) obtains weather information (precipitation and wind) by measuring returned energy. The radar sends out a burst of energy (green), and if the energy strikes an object like rain drops, bugs, birds, etc., the energy is scattered in all directions (blue). A small fraction of that energy gets directed back to the radar. How Radar Works The radar has a listening period, in which it collects and analyzes the signals that it receives. The whole process to analyze the signal is super fast, and occurs around 1300 times per second! In an average hour, the radar spends about 7 minutes sending signals, and 53 minutes listening for them. Based on some geeky physics stuff, the analysis can tell the “phase shift” of the signals it receives, which lets it know in what direction, and how fast the object it got bounced off of is going. Information on the movement of objects either toward or away from the radar can be used to estimate the speed of the wind. This ability to “see” the wind is what enables the National Weather Service to detect the formation of tornados which, in turn, allows us to issue tornado warnings with more advanced notice.

Base Reflectivity, which is what’s on the map above, is a display of echo intensity (reflectivity) measured in dBZ (decibels of Z, where Z represents the energy reflected back to the radar). “Reflectivity” is the amount of transmitted power returned to the radar receiver. Base Reflectivity images are available at several different elevation angles (tilts) of the antenna and are used to detect precipitation, evaluate storm structure, locate atmospheric boundaries and determine hail potential.

Base Reflectivity ScaleWhen you look at the Base Reflectivity map, you’ll see various colors on it, and one of the scales that you see to the left of this text. If the radar is operating in “clear aid” mode, then the values range from -28 to +28 dBZ. If the radar is operating in “precipitation mode,” then the values range from 5 to 75 dBZ. Turns out, the map I was viewing was operating in clear air mode, which was something I had never heard of. Typically, light rain is falling when the values reach approximately 20 dBZ. As you can see from my map, I was nowhere near that. I suppose that the high clouds or other particulates in the air could have accounted for the return that I saw on the map, but it certainly wasn’t raid. Had I known about the two scales, and the 20 dBZ threshold, I wouldn’t have been confused!

There’s quite a bit to learn about weather radars and how they are used to predict the weather. I would highly encourage you to visit the NWS Radar Image WSR-88D Radar FAQs to learn more. By understanding the concepts, scales and technologies used to predict the weather, you can get a better understanding of the weather potential for your area. And, it never hurts to learn some geeky science!

Monsoon 2010 Forecast for Southwest United States

May 21st, 2010 GoNorthWest No comments

The National Weather Service has issued their Monsoon 2010 Forecast for the southwestern portion of the United States. The overall forecast is neutral while we wait for El Nino/La Nina patterns to stabilize, and while we wait to see how wet the central plains will be. If you track this stuff like I do, you’ll find the forecast to be both interesting and informative.